China remains deeply attached to its traditions. It has adopted the western calendar for its civilian activities and for the publication of its statistics but it celebrates the New Year according to its ancestral practices, which are full of symbols. On January 21^st, the country came into the Year of the rabbit. It is each time the opportunity for the families the urbanization, due to the strong growth during these last decades had separated, to meet. They had been impeached of it by the measures adopted during three years in order to fight against the pandemic. Their lifting allows ...

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Except if there are, as during these last three years, major events, by nature unforeseeable, hurting the world economy, we would not know in 2023 a heavy recession. But the crisis will leave lasting traces which will affect the action of the public authorities and the behaviors of the economic agents. The world is coming into a new era. That already had occurred in the past, in the days following the Second World War with a long growth period and after the Berlin Wall fall, which had marked the end of the Cold War, with the emergence of the globalization ...

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Forecasting is a difficult art. Yet, in economy, it is one of the main centers of interest. But the exercise is a little distorted. An optimism excess may incite the economic agents to take decisions whose consequences would be heavy if the expectations are not fulfilled. To the opposite, good surprises quickly make forgotten the pessimistic statements and the credibility of their authors are not affected by that. 2022, as the two previous years, has known an unprecedent succession of events since the second world war having heavy economic repercussions. They were, due to their nature, impossible to predict as ...

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