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The Barnier government fall after the likely vote of a motion of censure regarding the Social Security financing law is the consequence of the contradictions between the economic policy choices adopted for ten years and the necessity to contain the evolution of the French public debt. But the alarming words employed these last two weeks are immoderate: the comparison with Greece doesn’t make any sense due to the different sizes of the two countries and these about Germany are groundless because the country is going to be confronted with heavy economic difficulties and a real political instability caused by ...
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The reports and the comments are plentiful after France poor economic results. The followed trend for twenty years is worrying due to a continuous and significant downgrade of the main economic indicators. After two decades shown by growth, an inflation reduction, the necessary industrial restructurings along with some mastery regarding public finances (the public debt in 2002 reached only 60% of the GDP) which had allowed France to come in the euro zone, the situation has not stopped to deteriorate: trade deficit and record public indebtedness, low growth and unemployment staying at a high level and a worrying de-industrialization. All ...
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The large Donald Trump victory, at variance with the poll opinions which had estimated that the result will be very narrow, and the creation of a Republican majority in the Senate have allowed to give a real visibility to the prospects of the American economy for the coming years. In Europe, to the contrary, when the worries about growth were becoming worse, Germany, after France, was entering into an uncertainness period after the breaking off of the coalition which is governing the country and the call for snap elections at the Bundestag. If nothing is done, the spread already observed ...
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INSEE has just published its first estimation of the French growth during the 3rd quarter (0.4%), which would allow to hope, for the full year, a figure slightly above 1%. But the satisfaction expressed by the commentators is not justified. Once removed the positive but temporary impact of the Olympic Games, household consumption has stagnated. The enterprises investment and the new homes construction are significantly reducing. The slightly positive contribution of the foreign trade comes only from a reduction of the energy balance. France has even a trade deficit for agricultural goods and the situation is not improving ...
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Le nouvel Etat-stratège
Le dernier livre d'Alain Boublil, le nouvel Etat-statège (Editions de l'Archipel) est paru le 5 février 2014.
Le livre apporte les réponses de son auteur à la question qui est, en France, au centre de tous les débats politiques: "Que peut-on attendre de l'Etat aujourd'hui ? " Et il formule plusieurs suggestions sur l'exercice du pouvoir tirées de son expérience passée auprès de François Mitterrand. Observateur de l'économie mondiale comme conseil des nombreuses grandes entreprises qui ont fait appel à lui, il trace un portrait de la France d'aujourd'hui bien moins pessimiste que ce que l'on entend parfois, à condition que chacun fasse preuve de lucidité sur ses propres comportements.
Les exigences ont certes été exacerbées par la crise. Mais y faire face est de plus en plus difficile car l'écart s'est creusé entre les attentes de chacun et la réduction des marges de manoeuvres publiques du fait des règles internationales, de l'endettement et des contraintes environnementales.
En dix chapitres, Alain Boublil dresse un bilan sans complaisances, prend la mesure des possibilités et des limites de l'Etat et il ouvre des voies nouvelles pour l'action publique. Il évoque le sauvetage de l'euro, le fardeau de la dette et le ras-le-bol fiscal, l'Etat-patron de Colbert à Jean-Marie Messier, le retour du complexe vis-à-vis de l'Allemagne et les nouveaux outils de l'Etat-stratège dans la mondialisation face aux défis industriels, aux enjeux de la transition énergétique, à la "dictature du CO2" et à la révolution du gaz de schiste. Et il met en garde contre les dérives de l'Etat-spectacle, qui gènent l'efficacité de l'action publique et les facilités de l'Etat-guichet qui débouchent sur le clientélisme.
La Publication la plus lue
3/12/2024
French version
The Barnier government fall after the likely vote of a motion of censure regarding the Social Security financing law is the consequence of the contradictions between the economic policy choices adopted for ten years and the necessity to contain the evolution of the French public debt. But the alarming words employed these last two weeks are immoderate: the comparison with ...
Continue reading