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AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

   

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Volcker is back

The inflationist crisis that the Western countries are now knowing and the envisioned remedies are inevitably sending back to that one of the Seventies final years, generated by the second oil shock, itself provoked by the war in Iran. During near forty years, the developed world was thinking it had put an end to inflation and was even starting to be worried by a deflation risk. In the United States, it is the appointment, at the end of 1979, of a new chairman at the Federal Reserve, Paul Volcker, which constituted a real turnaround. To fight against inflation which was ...

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FRANCE : Zero growth during the 1st quarter

The publication by INSEE of its first estimation of the French growth during the 1st quarter has surprised and disappointed. GDP has stagnated. During the same time inflation reached year on year 4.8% and it was not needed more for the spectre of stagflation to be reminded, the worst situation an economy can know with, in the same time inflation and the growth stoppage, which frequently constitutes the preliminary signal of a recession. These worries are yet excessive and the figures are less alarming than they look like because this stagnation occurs after a strong rebound in 2021 ...

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China : Pessimism is back

The publication of China GDP 1st quarter figures, +4.8%, year-on-year, has been received with skepticism, when they were higher than the 4% increase, still year-on-year, on the previous quarter and even above the expectations which were based on a 4.4% growth. The war in Ukraine had just started and had not yet significantly affected the supply chains and the restart of the covid-19 pandemic was hardy beginning to produce its effects with the confinement decided in the Shenzhen area.

Enterprises investments has grown by 9.3% on annual rhythm and industry and power and heat productions increased respectively ...

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