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AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

   

France

France: where are we? (Continued)

The latest and most representative figures concerning French economy have been released a week ago: housing construction, consumer goods, industrial production, fiscal situation, and international trade. They provide a more accurate picture of the situation in the first quarter of 2015 and the trend for this year. But these figures do not suggest a return to growth in France that is to say to a significant level of growth able to stabilize unemployment if not to reduce it.  The optimistic speeches of economists must be relativized. Of course, a 1% growth rate shows some improvement compared to the past stagnation ...

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France: where are we?

Four months ago, we perceived some improvement. Following the publication of a drop in unemployment in January, we wondered, two months ago, if the recovery was finally here. So where are we really now? Commentators are optimistic. But this is a kind of forced optimism. Members of the government cannot react otherwise. The Minister of Labour is doing his job when he notices that, arithmetically, the monthly increase of unemployment in the first quarter is low, even if it is mostly due to the exceptional decrease observed in January.

Nevertheless one can tell him that the number of full-time job ...

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CHINA: The New Way

"Where there is a will, there is a way," said the sage Lao Tzu. What does China want today and where does it go? Most of the commentators focus nowadays on the growth slowdown and the impact of the debt accumulated by real estate promoters and local governments on the financial and social stability of the country, which could threaten the global economy. This is not what is at stake.

First, comparing the growth rates over a long period of time is not relevant. In 2005, China had a GDP equivalent to that of France or the UK. Ten years ...

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