Archives April 2026

The publication of the IFO business index in Germany for February, which is significantly lower than expected (84.4, the lowest level since the low point of the COVID period) after 86.3 in January, reflects the current difficulties of the German economy. But the essential question is whether these are the consequences of the current international instability and will therefore fade away in the future or a structural change affecting a country whose economic model has long been the benchmark in Europe.

Paul Valéry, in his study published in 1898 (A Methodical Conquest) described it as follows: "To ...

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In an increasingly fragmented and unstable international environment, China appears to be a pillar of growth in the world economy. The 5% increase in GDP over one year in the 1st quarter shows that, unlike the main developed countries, the country has not yet been affected by the consequences of the war in the Middle East. Uncertainties about fossil fuel supplies, with the resulting sharp price increases, as well as disruptions to maritime traffic, have not resulted in a significant rebound in inflation or threats to production chains.

The rate of 5% is identical to that published for the year ...

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The announcement by the rating agency Moody's that France AA will be maintained with a negative outlook is a refutation of the catastrophist discourse widely spread in the political world and in the media. AA is one of the best ratings in the euro area, but the negative outlook is justified by the lack of clarification on the 2026 and 2027 budgets, with the risk of a return to the same political instability that followed the dissolution of the National Assembly in 2024. It is this instability and not the situation of public finances that was at the origin ...

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