Contrary to the many pessimistic comments, the Chinese economy seems less affected than expected by international tensions, the threat of a trade war with massive increases in customs duties as well as the reorganization of supply chains made necessary by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The first estimate of GDP in the 2nd quarter of 2025 shows a growth rate of 5.2%, very marginally lower than that observed in the 1st quarter which was 5.4%. The official target of growth of around 5% in 2025 should therefore be achieved or, at least, approached.
This situation contrasts with the ...