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AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

   

Europe

The end of the German model

The publication of the IFO business index in Germany for February, which is significantly lower than expected (84.4, the lowest level since the low point of the COVID period) after 86.3 in January, reflects the current difficulties of the German economy. But the essential question is whether these are the consequences of the current international instability and will therefore fade away in the future or a structural change affecting a country whose economic model has long been the benchmark in Europe.

Paul Valéry, in his study published in 1898 (A Methodical Conquest) described it as follows: "To ...

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Oil and natral gas : the double shock

The energy crisis that the world is going through is not the first, but it could be much more serious than the previous ones. The crises of the late 1970s were said to have put an end to the Glorious Thirty. This concept, based exclusively on an indicator, GDP, which is far from representing all the characteristics of a country, is misleading since growth was strong because in the aftermath of the war, production was weak. It ignores cruel realities such as the stagnation of life expectancy, the ten thousand deaths each year on the roads or the tens of ...

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And what about Europe ?

The fact that the President of the United States did not consult or at least inform European leaders of the launch of military operations in Iran did not surprise anyone. However, the continent, which imports almost all of its fossil fuels, will be one of the regions of the planet that will bear the heaviest economic consequences. This situation is to be compared to the White House's taking charge of discussions with Moscow with a view to finding a way out of the war in Ukraine and where Europe, although directly concerned, is kept on the sidelines. This can ...

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