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AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

   

Europe

2015 : the five turning points

2015 hasn’t been a year as any. Oil, Yuan, Fed, Europe and France have known majors turning points. Some of them will generate structural evolutions which will affect the world economy at least for its next ten years.

Oil, first. 2015 has brought the confirmation that price fall observed at the end of 2014 was not only the result of geostrategic choices, Gulf States, with Sunnite predominance, willing to weaken Shiite Iran and the United States trying to cut Russian resources after Ukrainian crisis. OPEC decision to maintain the level of its production, confirmed a year later, was the ...

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Pfizer-Allergan : la fusion fiscale de trop ?

Les tragiques évènements intervenus à Paris durant le mois de novembre ont fait passer les questions économiques au second plan en Europe. Pourtant, pendant ce temps-là, se déroule l’une des plus importantes opérations financières de tous les temps, venant juste derrière les folies de la bulle des télécoms d’il y a quinze ans, AOL Time-Warner et Hutchison-Mannesmann entre autres. La transaction dépassera 160 milliards de dollars. Mais ce qui en fait l’originalité, c’est moins sa taille que sa motivation exclusivement fiscale. En fusionnant avec Allergan, installé en Irlande et ...

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The three headaches of the German economy

As serious the Volkswagen affair is, it must not conceal the structural weaknesses of the German economy. Through a well known writer trick, to avoid repetition, the country is systematically qualified as the “first economic power in Europe” in comments but never the “country in Europe with the oldest population”. The size of the German economy is an indisputable statistical fact, but it is not the result of its economic achievements. It is the mechanical consequence of the German unification which 25th birthday we are celebrating this year. And this historical change has not facilitated economic growth since, to ...

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