Vous n'êtes pas encore inscrit au service newsletter ?

S'inscrire

Login

Forgot password? Reset it!

×

AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

Les dernières publications

The new globalization

Globalization is dead. Vive la globalization ! The economic and political crisis to which the world is confronted today with the lasting consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic and of the invasion of Ukraine by Russia shows the end of the globalization as it was known during these last decades. The occurred breaks are hurting much more heavily the economic situation of the countries than these caused by the oil shocks in the Seventies, the reforms in China during the Eighties and the Soviet Union collapse at the beginning of the Nineties. Economies had progressively been able to adapt themselves to these ...

Continue reading

Volcker is back

The inflationist crisis that the Western countries are now knowing and the envisioned remedies are inevitably sending back to that one of the Seventies final years, generated by the second oil shock, itself provoked by the war in Iran. During near forty years, the developed world was thinking it had put an end to inflation and was even starting to be worried by a deflation risk. In the United States, it is the appointment, at the end of 1979, of a new chairman at the Federal Reserve, Paul Volcker, which constituted a real turnaround. To fight against inflation which was ...

Continue reading

FRANCE : Zero growth during the 1st quarter

The publication by INSEE of its first estimation of the French growth during the 1st quarter has surprised and disappointed. GDP has stagnated. During the same time inflation reached year on year 4.8% and it was not needed more for the spectre of stagflation to be reminded, the worst situation an economy can know with, in the same time inflation and the growth stoppage, which frequently constitutes the preliminary signal of a recession. These worries are yet excessive and the figures are less alarming than they look like because this stagnation occurs after a strong rebound in 2021 ...

Continue reading

China : Pessimism is back

The publication of China GDP 1st quarter figures, +4.8%, year-on-year, has been received with skepticism, when they were higher than the 4% increase, still year-on-year, on the previous quarter and even above the expectations which were based on a 4.4% growth. The war in Ukraine had just started and had not yet significantly affected the supply chains and the restart of the covid-19 pandemic was hardy beginning to produce its effects with the confinement decided in the Shenzhen area.

Enterprises investments has grown by 9.3% on annual rhythm and industry and power and heat productions increased respectively ...

Continue reading

Le nouvel Etat-stratège

LE NOUVEL ETAT STRATEGELe dernier livre d'Alain Boublil, le nouvel Etat-statège (Editions de l'Archipel) est paru le 5 février 2014.

Le livre apporte les réponses de son auteur  à la question qui est, en France, au centre de tous les débats politiques: "Que peut-on attendre de l'Etat aujourd'hui ? " Et il formule plusieurs suggestions sur l'exercice du pouvoir tirées de son expérience passée auprès de François Mitterrand. Observateur de l'économie mondiale comme conseil des nombreuses grandes entreprises qui ont fait appel à lui, il trace un portrait de la France d'aujourd'hui bien moins pessimiste que ce que l'on entend parfois, à condition que chacun fasse preuve de lucidité sur ses propres comportements. 

Les exigences ont certes été exacerbées par la crise. Mais y faire face est de plus en plus difficile car l'écart s'est creusé entre les attentes de chacun et la réduction des marges de manoeuvres publiques du fait des règles internationales, de l'endettement et des contraintes environnementales.

En dix chapitres, Alain Boublil dresse un bilan sans complaisances, prend la mesure des possibilités et des limites de l'Etat et il ouvre des voies nouvelles pour l'action publique. Il évoque le sauvetage de l'euro, le fardeau de la dette et le ras-le-bol fiscal, l'Etat-patron de Colbert à Jean-Marie Messier, le retour du complexe vis-à-vis de l'Allemagne et les nouveaux outils de l'Etat-stratège dans la mondialisation face aux défis industriels, aux enjeux de la transition énergétique, à la "dictature du CO2" et à la révolution du gaz de schiste. Et il met en garde contre les dérives de l'Etat-spectacle, qui gènent l'efficacité de l'action publique et les facilités de l'Etat-guichet qui débouchent sur le clientélisme.

 

To return to the French version of the site, click on the icon at the top right corner of the page.