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AB 2000 studies

Alain Boublil Blog

Les dernières publications

How China is doing ?

With the media whirl generated by Donald Trump tweets, England difficulties created by the consequences of its choice in favor of Brexit and the fall in love of the world opinion with the new French president, the actuality relative to China has been relegated in the middle distance. The sovereign debt notation downgrade by Moody’s has had no consequences and the numerous foreign visits of its leaders most of the time followed by the signature of major projects financed by Beijing didn’t attract more attention. At the end of this month, in Dalian, a major harbor located at ...

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French economy : the honeymoon

The last published figures, and especially the high level of job creations during the 1st quarter, give a positive image of France which contrasts with many years of doubts and critics. The growth trend is now in the European average, even if it is not strong enough to generate a significant reduction of unemployment and several sectors, like for instance home building, are enjoying a significant turnaround. Emmanuel Macron election and the huge majority his government will get at the national Assembly, even if his economic program is not precisely known, appeared as very positive factors to the international community ...

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The euro rebounds against the dollar : 1.13$

The recent evolution of the parity between the two major international currencies, the dollar and the euro, is full of lessons and will not be without consequences on the French economy. The euro remained stable against the dollar during almost two years, if we exclude a short period of doubt in November 2015. It fluctuated between 1.10 and 1.15. American elections approaching and the narrowing of the gap between the democrat candidate and Donald Trump generated a rise of the dollar. It reached 1.05$ against the euro, its highest level for 20 years, shortly after the election ...

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Debts : heading to the next crisis ?

Moody’s rating agency has downgraded last week China sovereign debt notation. It echoes the numerous alerts about the excessive indebtedness of local authorities and state-owned companies. On the opposite, the State debt ratio (48%) would make many countries dreaming about it. That decision did not provoke any concern to financial markets. Shanghai, Taiwan and especially Hong Kong have followed their rise with, for the last one, a 16% increase since the beginning of the year. The Chinese risk is, in fact, overestimated and it is not new. The country has a huge current account surplus and currencies reserves above ...

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Le nouvel Etat-stratège

LE NOUVEL ETAT STRATEGELe dernier livre d'Alain Boublil, le nouvel Etat-statège (Editions de l'Archipel) est paru le 5 février 2014.

Le livre apporte les réponses de son auteur  à la question qui est, en France, au centre de tous les débats politiques: "Que peut-on attendre de l'Etat aujourd'hui ? " Et il formule plusieurs suggestions sur l'exercice du pouvoir tirées de son expérience passée auprès de François Mitterrand. Observateur de l'économie mondiale comme conseil des nombreuses grandes entreprises qui ont fait appel à lui, il trace un portrait de la France d'aujourd'hui bien moins pessimiste que ce que l'on entend parfois, à condition que chacun fasse preuve de lucidité sur ses propres comportements. 

Les exigences ont certes été exacerbées par la crise. Mais y faire face est de plus en plus difficile car l'écart s'est creusé entre les attentes de chacun et la réduction des marges de manoeuvres publiques du fait des règles internationales, de l'endettement et des contraintes environnementales.

En dix chapitres, Alain Boublil dresse un bilan sans complaisances, prend la mesure des possibilités et des limites de l'Etat et il ouvre des voies nouvelles pour l'action publique. Il évoque le sauvetage de l'euro, le fardeau de la dette et le ras-le-bol fiscal, l'Etat-patron de Colbert à Jean-Marie Messier, le retour du complexe vis-à-vis de l'Allemagne et les nouveaux outils de l'Etat-stratège dans la mondialisation face aux défis industriels, aux enjeux de la transition énergétique, à la "dictature du CO2" et à la révolution du gaz de schiste. Et il met en garde contre les dérives de l'Etat-spectacle, qui gènent l'efficacité de l'action publique et les facilités de l'Etat-guichet qui débouchent sur le clientélisme.

 

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